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    Sat, May 2512:30 am UTCTarget Center
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Dallas
    Mavericks
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L63-41
    ATS59-43
    O/U45-56-1
    FINAL SCORE
    109
    -
    108
    Minnesota
    Timberwolves
    MIN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L65-33
    ATS49-45
    O/U50-46-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    63-41
    Win /Loss
    65-33
    59-43
    Spread
    49-45
    45-56-1
    Over / Under
    50-46-1
    Key Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DAL @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DAL @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DAL @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    45%
    PUBLIC
    55%
    MONEY
    18%
    PUBLIC
    82%
    MONEY
    Over96%
    PUBLIC
    Under4%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsPJ Washington Over 19.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -127
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +326
    9-6 in Last 15 NBA Player Props Picks
    James's Analysis:

    P.J. Washington played 41 minutes in Game 1, and I am expecting another heavy workload in Game 2. Minnesota's front court is outstanding, but Washington has a big enough role in Dallas' offense that he could push this number on points alone.

    Pick Made: May 24, 10:47 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total 3pt Field GoalsJaden McDaniels Over 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +37
    3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Jaden McDaniels isn't going to erupt for 24 points and six 3-pointers like he did in Game 1. But based on the way the Mavs are defending Minnesota, I like McDaniels to make at least two from beyond the arc. The defensive wizard played 39 minutes in Game 1 after playing 40 in the clincher against Denver. For the playoffs, McDaniels is shooting 41.5 percent from deep.

    Pick Made: May 24, 9:24 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsJaden McDaniels Over 5.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -179
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +40
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    Shop around for a price on this. None the less, Jaden McDaniels is 6'9 playing 35+ minutes of basketball...he should be able to get 6 rebounds alone. He's gone over this in 3 of his last 4 games including Game 1 of this series. With Luka as his assignment, I expect these stats to build passively as such an important part of this team this series. Better shooting from Edwards and KAT wouldn't hurt either.

    Pick Made: May 24, 8:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total PointsNaz Reid Over 10.5 Total Points -111
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +40
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    There's no reason to believe Naz Reid can't continue to hit this. He is 21-8 to this over when he plays 22-25 minutes and tallied 15 points in Game 1. Even with KAT on the floor, he still averages 12+ points on the season. And as far as playoffs themselves, Reid has hit this in 5 of his last 8.

    Pick Made: May 24, 8:06 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsDaniel Gafford Over 14.5 Total Points + Rebounds -106
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +107
    15-12 in Last 27 NBA Player Props Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Daniel Gafford has been losing some minutes to Dereck Lively. However, Gafford is still the starter, but only averaging 22 minutes over the last 10 games. Gafford has had 15 points and rebounds, or more, in seven of the last eight games. He’s also gone over this mark in four of the last five away playoff games. He needs to continue to be productive, so he doesn’t continue to lose more minutes to Lively.

    Pick Made: May 24, 6:40 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsNaz Reid Over 14.5 Total Points + Rebounds -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +107
    15-12 in Last 27 NBA Player Props Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Naz Reid continues to be productive off the bench. The NBA’s 6th man of the year has had 15 points and rebounds, or more, in six of the last eight games. Reid has also gone over this mark in four out of the last five meetings against Dallas this season. He’s averaging 25 minutes, 15.6 points and 6.4 rebounds against this Mavericks thus far.

    Pick Made: May 24, 6:35 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsDereck Lively II Over 14.5 Total Points + Rebounds -132
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +107
    15-12 in Last 27 NBA Player Props Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Dereck Lively has really upped his game this postseason. He’s averaging 26 minutes over the last five games, going over 15 points and rebounds in four out of five games. He’s gone over this number in two out of three games against Minnesota this season and four out of the last six road games in the playoffs.

    Pick Made: May 24, 6:30 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsDereck Lively II Over 15.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -145
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Mike's Analysis:

    Dereck Lively II came up big in Game 1, posting nine points, 11 rebounds and three assists. The key was, he logged 27 minutes. Over the last five games, he has averaged 10.2 points, 10.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists in 26 minutes per game. In terms of this prop, he posted at least 16 combined points, rebounds and assists in four of those games. The one time that he didn’t, he just missed with 15 combined. The Mavericks need his size to battle with the likes of Rudy Gobert, Karl-Anthony Towns and Naz Reid, so I expect him to play enough to hit this over.

    Pick Made: May 24, 5:33 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -5.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +793
    19-10-1 in Last 30 NBA Picks
    +693
    18-10-1 in Last 29 NBA ATS Picks
    +1057
    26-14-1 in Last 41 DAL ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    It’s going to take rapid adjustments from the Minnesota Timberwolves to even the series after losing game one to the Dallas Mavericks. Offensively they had a couple of surges to begin the fourth quarter and erasing a 97-89 deficit, but could not put it together. Look for Minnesota’s adjustments to come on the defensive end, in particular on Luka Doncic who looks as healthy as he has been in the postseason. Take the Timberwolves to respond in game two.

    Pick Made: May 24, 4:49 pm UTC
    1st Half Spread1st Half Minnesota -3.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +300
    4-1 in Last 5 NBA Game Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    We are going back to a similar bet from Game 1. In this case we will lay the points. Mavs have been largely slow starters and are playing with a bit of house money. ANT had a down scoring game and didn't look for his shot enough, and I expect that changes here. Wolves had a pointed film session with the coaching staff and I expect them to be the better team again in opening 24 mins. Will Kyrie try to take over early two games in a row? We will see a highly motivated home team from the opening jump. Mavs have lost first half by nearly 2 points on average but are facing their best opponent here.

    Pick Made: May 24, 2:34 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -5.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +3578
    197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
    +2461
    108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Well, if we've been citing the NBA Playoffs zig-zag throughout this postseason, no reason to abandon it now. We get the added "zig-zag bonus" here of the Mavs winning outright as an underdog in Game 1 at Target Center. Time-tested psychology on the side of the T-wolves, who looked a bit spent from their rousing Game 7 comeback at Denver when failing to reach that crescendo in the opener of this series. Anthony Edwards due for a breakout here after going 12 for 40 from the floor in his last two games, and every Minny starter save Jayden McDaniels scored below his season average on Wednesday. Note the "zig-zag" has worked in Game 2 in both previous rounds involving the Mavs. Play T-wolves

    Pick Made: May 24, 7:29 am UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -5 -114
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    Micah's Analysis:

    This is the best shot we have to bet Minnesota to win and cover in game two after the game one loss. Minnesota has won four of the past six meetings but this one will be heightened extra special because they’ll get help from the stipes. The first thing that the T-Wolves need to recognize is that Anthony Edwards is their star and at no time should Karl Anthony Towns be shooting 20 shots, more than Edwards, and only 6 shots made. Know who the star is. Feed him. Minny only shot 43% but had only 10 turnovers. Expect makeup calls with the free throw line, they only had 18 free throws in game 1. Edwards drives to the hoop all game. Minnesota to cover.

    Pick Made: May 24, 2:17 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsAnthony Edwards Under 12.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3975
    320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Anthony Edwards struggled shooting the ball in Game 1 finishing with just 19 points on 6-16 shooting. Ant did finish with a whopping 19 RA which is why we're seeing this line as high as it is presently. Typically this combo line fluctuates between 9.5 and 10.5. If we look at the assist and rebound distribution on the Wolves, Mike Conley and KAT combined for 5 and Ant accounted for 35% of the teams assist, which he is unlikely to replicate. Additionally, Ant finished with 11 rebounds (27% of the teams rebounds) meanwhile, KAT and Gobert combined for only 14. This is a great sell high spot and if it's not next game, regression is coming.

    Pick Made: May 23, 4:57 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Dallas Mavericks
    No Player Injuries
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    No Player Injuries