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    Fri, May 1712:30 am UTCTarget Center
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Denver
    Nuggets
    DEN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L64-29
    ATS44-46
    O/U40-51-1
    FINAL SCORE
    70
    -
    115
    Minnesota
    Timberwolves
    MIN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L63-29
    ATS47-41
    O/U46-44-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    64-29
    Win /Loss
    63-29
    44-46
    Spread
    47-41
    40-51-1
    Over / Under
    46-44-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SF
    Avatar
    PG
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SG
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DEN @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DEN @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DEN @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    64%
    PUBLIC
    36%
    MONEY
    37%
    PUBLIC
    63%
    MONEY
    Over96%
    PUBLIC
    Under4%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Money LineMinnesota -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +847
    14-5 in Last 19 NBA Picks
    +347
    6-2 in Last 8 NBA ML Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Minnesota’s Mike Conley is active tonight. The Timberwolves have lost the last three games but are still 30-11 SU at home this season. The line has moved in Denver’s favor, but the Timberwolves still opened as a two-and-a-half-point favorite. The public is heavily favoring Denver and with the season on the line you can expect a motivated Timberwolves team in a great atmosphere.

    Pick Made: Thu 11:35 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total BlocksJaden McDaniels Over 0.5 Total Blocks -145
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +567
    10-4 in Last 14 NBA Player Props Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    This one is a little juicy. However, Jaden McDaniels has had at least one block in six straight games. This season against Denver, McDaniels has had at least one block in seven out of nine games. With the season on the line and playing at home, the Timberwolves should some out and set the tempo with their defense like they did in the first two games of the series.

    Pick Made: Thu 9:45 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReboundsKarl-Anthony Towns Over 6.5 Total Rebounds -179
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +97
    2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    This line is available for a lot better prices if you shop around. I have to back the guys fighting for their lives tonight, and that means hitting the boards harder. KAT has followed up his poor rebounding games with double digit games throughout the series. History would tell us tonight he should get back on track. The SL model has him projected for 8 rebounds, and I expect four quarters of effort will get us there tonight.

    Pick Made: Thu 7:30 pm UTC
    Money LineDenver +115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +760
    30-20 in Last 50 NBA Picks
    +200
    4-2 in Last 6 NBA ML Picks
    Tim's Analysis:

    The Nuggets have scored at least 112 points in three straight games after reaching 112 in one of their first seven this postseason. They have figured out the Timberwolves and win the series tonight in the Twin Cities. Great in-series adjustments by Nuggets coach Michael Malone.

    Pick Made: Thu 7:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + AssistsJamal Murray Over 24.5 Total Points + Assists -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    With their season on the line, the host Timberwolves can't let Nikola Jokic destroy them again. He had 40 points and 13 assists in Denver's Game 5 win. Sending more help at Jokic should put more of a playmaking and scoring burden on Jamal Murray. He typically elevates his game on the road, anyway, having cleared this prop in nine of his last 10 road games. In this series, Murray posted 29 and 27 combined points plus assists in Minnesota.

    Pick Made: Thu 7:02 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsMike Conley Under 13.5 Total Points + Rebounds -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    Mike Conley (strained calf) is questionable after sitting out Game 5. He was present at shootaround Thursday. The expectation is that with Minnesota facing elimination, he'll play. But he could focus primarily on facilitating -- he's averaging 7.8 assists in the series -- and his minutes could be reduced. Look for Conley to try to get Anthony Edwards back on track after Ant's 5-of-15 performance in Game 5.

    Pick Made: Thu 6:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total PointsNikola Jokic Over 29.5 Total Points -104
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +96
    2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Newsflash: Gobert can't come close to containing Jokic and I'd be shocked if they decided to truly sellout to doubling him now. So does that mean more KAT on him? That's fine I think The Joker can take him off the dribble and to the rim. They can't collapse on him with Gordon and Murray and Porter shooting so well. This is a close-out game for me, and Jokic has another 30 in him knowing the importance of getting some RnR before the WCF. I see him taking matters into his own hands quite a bit and going to the line quite a bit

    Pick Made: Thu 5:23 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDenver +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +3654
    189-139-2 in Last 330 NBA Picks
    +2937
    104-68-1 in Last 173 NBA ATS Picks
    +1050
    16-5 in Last 21 DEN ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    We haven't seen a turnaround like this since Super Bowl XXII. The Nuggets are about to flip what was a 2-0 series deficit into a 4-2 series win if they succeed tonight in a rare NBA playoff pattern first established by the West-Baylor-Wilt 1968-69 Lakers, roaring back to defeat the Warriors (then San Francisco) in the West semifinals in exactly the same sequence. As the series has progressed, the T-wolves have found it increasingly hard (impossible?) to contain the Joker, who scored 40 and had 13 assists in the Nuggets' Game 5 win, plus Jamal Murray. Meanwhile, Anthony Edwards seems the only Minnesota force able to raise his game as this series has progressed as the rest of the lineup has collectively sagged. Play Nuggets

    Pick Made: Thu 9:52 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total 3pt Field GoalsAnthony Edwards Over 2.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +97
    2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    Either game script leads me to believe this can hit. Anthony Edwards will have to show up big for Minnesota if they want a shot at this game, or he will be playing from behind and want to put up threes. The shot volume has been there the past three games: 8, 8, and 5 three-point attempts, and he's gone over this total in 3 of the 4 games. The urgency of this game should allow us to see similar volume again.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:29 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota -2 -110
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +270
    5-3 in Last 8 NBA Picks
    +190
    2-1 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
    +690
    7-1-1 in Last 9 DEN ATS Picks
    Jeff's Analysis:

    The Minnesota Timberwolves are heading home after losing three consecutive games for the first time this season. Denver has shot at least 54% from the field in all three victories. Minnesota will be motivated, as the Nuggets have won both games in Minnesota. Closeout games are challenging on the road. I believe Minnesota will extend this series with a strong performance at Target Center.

    Pick Made: Wed 6:36 pm UTC
    Money LineDenver +114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1097
    55-43 in Last 98 NBA Picks
    +503
    6-3 in Last 9 NBA ML Picks
    +360
    3-1 in Last 4 MIN ML Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Nuggets I expected to see all along in playoffs have finally materialized, and the young Wolves are on the ropes. Momentum is fleeting and the longer this series goes the more Murray not being banned from Game 3 looms large. Denver has found its bench and honed its rotations while the Wolves suddenly are looking for answers. I don't think the pressure and scrutiny will bring out the best in KAT and Gobert and now MIN is the frustrated team. They can't stop The Joker and he can take this game over himself, knowing the import of extra rest before the WCF. MIN needed to keep this a low scoring series, but Nugs cracked the code, scoring 112, 115, 117 in 3 wins.

    Pick Made: Wed 1:55 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Denver Nuggets
    Sunday, Apr 21, 2024
    Avatar
    PG
    Collin Gillespie
    KneeOut
    Friday, Apr 05, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Vlatko Cancar
    KneeOut
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
    Avatar
    SG
    Jaylen Clark
    AchillesOut