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    Thu, May 161:30 am UTCPaycom Center
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Dallas
    Mavericks
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L57-36
    ATS54-37
    O/U40-50-1
    FINAL SCORE
    104
    -
    92
    Oklahoma City
    Thunder
    OKC
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L63-28
    ATS52-38
    O/U47-41-3
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    57-36
    Win /Loss
    63-28
    54-37
    Spread
    52-38
    40-50-1
    Over / Under
    47-41-3
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    Avatar
    PG
    Avatar
    SF
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DAL @ OKC
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DAL @ OKC
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    OVER / UNDER
    DAL @ OKC
    Subscribers Only

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    73%
    PUBLIC
    27%
    MONEY
    25%
    PUBLIC
    75%
    MONEY
    Over90%
    PUBLIC
    Under10%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total PointsChet Holmgren Over 15.5 Total Points -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Zack's Analysis:

    The Oklahoma City Thunder were in a dire spot in game four but thanks to Shai Gilgeous Alexander pulled out a dramatic win. Points have now become harder to get as the series extends, but Chet Holmgren has the game to clear his points prop. He had a nice flurry of points in the second half of game four with a couple of deep shots, and needs to be more aggressive to get to the free throw line. Look for Holmgren to build off his game four performance and go over his points prop.

    Pick Made: Thu 12:15 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total PointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 32.5 Total Points -127
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +410
    13-9 in Last 22 NBA Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    The pace of this series has been slow. And SGA has projected under the points he has scored on amazing mid range shooting. Let’s play regression here. Under.

    Pick Made: Wed 9:21 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsChet Holmgren Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -164
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +410
    13-9 in Last 22 NBA Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    The Thunder have given up on Josh Giddey. That means Holmgren draws Daniel Gafford. Accordingly, Chet will move away from the basket and facilitate, giving him the assists we need to go over. He had 5 potential assists last game. Pair it with rebounds

    Pick Made: Wed 9:18 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 213.5 -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3654
    189-139-2 in Last 330 NBA Picks
    +1267
    84-65 in Last 149 NBA O/U Picks
    +370
    7-3 in Last 10 OKC O/U Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    This matchup has slowed down a lot since explosive scorelines between them during the regular season. Watching the games it is apparent to see why...Luka Doncic can't run and the Mavs rarely score in transition. (Dallas also couldn't shoot FTs in Game 4, which helped keep that scoreline lower.) Luka, bothered by knee and ankle injuries, can still be effective in halfocurt sets, but his usage rate is down somewhat, and the Mavs usually milking the shot clock on possessions. Meanwhile, the Thunder has been leaning awfully hard on SGA as the offense often misfired in Games 3 and 4, though Luka & Co misfired more on Monday. Dallas on 18-7 "under" run; OKC 9-3 "under" run. Play Mavs-Thunder "Under"

    Pick Made: Wed 7:37 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsChet Holmgren Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -127
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +4695
    313-225 in Last 538 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Chet stepped up in Game 4 and provided OKC with a secondary scoring punch that they needed in order to even what has been a very competitive series. Chet logged 40 minutes in Game 4 which were the most minutes he has played in the playoffs. I expect him to receive similar PT/heavy minutes again tonight barring foul trouble. If we look at the rebound distributions in this series, I would offer that Chet is running cold and with the likelihood of him getting a significant bump in playing time, coupled with a RA line that he averages despite playing fewer than 30 MPG, this line looks much closer to his floor.

    Pick Made: Wed 6:40 pm UTC
    Money LineDallas +146
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1097
    55-43 in Last 98 NBA Picks
    +503
    6-3 in Last 9 NBA ML Picks
    +146
    2-1 in Last 3 DAL ML Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    So far this series has followed the same pattern as the first round for the Mavs. Look flat Game 1, flex their muscles in the next two games and look ready to make it a short series, then play a low IQ ball to blow in Game 4 at home, only to then rebound on road. A passive backcourt and missed foul shots doomed them last game despite being the better team for most of the 48 mins. They seem to need multiple wake up calls but I think Kyrie gets this one and actually looks for his shot in a critical fifth game. Mavs show more guts on road for whatever reason. Experience will matter in pivotal game.

    Pick Made: Wed 1:46 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsPJ Washington Under 8.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +4695
    313-225 in Last 538 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    I'm looking to fade PJ Washington despite him scoring 20+ points in three consecutive games. While I believe he is a regression candidate as I do not buy that Washingto has suddenly emerged as a 20 PPG scorer, he has a green light offensively and is playing big minutes, while clearly benefiting from the defensive attention Luka and Kyrie command. Meanwhile we're getting a big RA line here as Washington averaged a combined 7.7 RA in the regular season. Washington has been the second leading rebounder in this series vs OKC and I do not believe that is sustainable.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:51 am UTC

    Team Injuries

    Dallas Mavericks
    Friday, May 17, 2024
    Avatar
    PG
    Luka Doncic
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SF
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper
    AnkleOut
    Sunday, May 05, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Maxi Kleber
    ShoulderOut
    Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Greg Brown
    PersonalOut
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Olivier Sarr
    AchillesOut