loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NFL
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
CBB
League Logo
NHL
All
  • Loading...
loading...
Thu, May 161:30 am UTCPaycom Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L63-41
ATS59-43
O/U45-56-1
FINAL SCORE
104
-
92
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L63-29
ATS53-38
O/U48-41-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
63-41
Win /Loss
63-29
59-43
Spread
53-38
45-56-1
Over / Under
48-41-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DAL @ OKC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DAL @ OKC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
DAL @ OKC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

73%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsChet Holmgren Over 15.5 Total Points -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

The Oklahoma City Thunder were in a dire spot in game four but thanks to Shai Gilgeous Alexander pulled out a dramatic win. Points have now become harder to get as the series extends, but Chet Holmgren has the game to clear his points prop. He had a nice flurry of points in the second half of game four with a couple of deep shots, and needs to be more aggressive to get to the free throw line. Look for Holmgren to build off his game four performance and go over his points prop.

Pick Made: May 16, 12:15 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 32.5 Total Points -127
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

The pace of this series has been slow. And SGA has projected under the points he has scored on amazing mid range shooting. Let’s play regression here. Under.

Pick Made: May 15, 9:21 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsChet Holmgren Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -164
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

The Thunder have given up on Josh Giddey. That means Holmgren draws Daniel Gafford. Accordingly, Chet will move away from the basket and facilitate, giving him the assists we need to go over. He had 5 potential assists last game. Pair it with rebounds

Pick Made: May 15, 9:18 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 213.5 -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+1667
88-65 in Last 153 NBA O/U Picks
+500
5-0 in Last 5 DAL O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

This matchup has slowed down a lot since explosive scorelines between them during the regular season. Watching the games it is apparent to see why...Luka Doncic can't run and the Mavs rarely score in transition. (Dallas also couldn't shoot FTs in Game 4, which helped keep that scoreline lower.) Luka, bothered by knee and ankle injuries, can still be effective in halfocurt sets, but his usage rate is down somewhat, and the Mavs usually milking the shot clock on possessions. Meanwhile, the Thunder has been leaning awfully hard on SGA as the offense often misfired in Games 3 and 4, though Luka & Co misfired more on Monday. Dallas on 18-7 "under" run; OKC 9-3 "under" run. Play Mavs-Thunder "Under"

Pick Made: May 15, 7:37 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsChet Holmgren Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -127
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Chet stepped up in Game 4 and provided OKC with a secondary scoring punch that they needed in order to even what has been a very competitive series. Chet logged 40 minutes in Game 4 which were the most minutes he has played in the playoffs. I expect him to receive similar PT/heavy minutes again tonight barring foul trouble. If we look at the rebound distributions in this series, I would offer that Chet is running cold and with the likelihood of him getting a significant bump in playing time, coupled with a RA line that he averages despite playing fewer than 30 MPG, this line looks much closer to his floor.

Pick Made: May 15, 6:40 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDallas +146
WIN
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

So far this series has followed the same pattern as the first round for the Mavs. Look flat Game 1, flex their muscles in the next two games and look ready to make it a short series, then play a low IQ ball to blow in Game 4 at home, only to then rebound on road. A passive backcourt and missed foul shots doomed them last game despite being the better team for most of the 48 mins. They seem to need multiple wake up calls but I think Kyrie gets this one and actually looks for his shot in a critical fifth game. Mavs show more guts on road for whatever reason. Experience will matter in pivotal game.

Pick Made: May 15, 1:46 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsPJ Washington Under 8.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

I'm looking to fade PJ Washington despite him scoring 20+ points in three consecutive games. While I believe he is a regression candidate as I do not buy that Washingto has suddenly emerged as a 20 PPG scorer, he has a green light offensively and is playing big minutes, while clearly benefiting from the defensive attention Luka and Kyrie command. Meanwhile we're getting a big RA line here as Washington averaged a combined 7.7 RA in the regular season. Washington has been the second leading rebounder in this series vs OKC and I do not believe that is sustainable.

Pick Made: May 15, 3:51 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Sunday, Feb 09, 2025
Avatar
C
Anthony Davis
GroinOut
Avatar
SG
Dante Exum
AchillesQuestionable
Avatar
C
Dwight Powell
HipOut
Avatar
SG
Max Christie
ShoulderQuestionable
Saturday, Feb 08, 2025
Avatar
PF
PJ Washington
AnkleQuestionable
Thursday, Feb 06, 2025
Avatar
SF
Caleb Martin
HipOut
Thursday, Jan 23, 2025
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
AnkleOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thursday, Nov 07, 2024
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
KneeOut
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
Avatar
SG
Isaiah Joe
KneeOut
Sunday, Feb 09, 2025
Avatar
SF
Ousmane Dieng
CalfOut
Avatar
PG
Cason Wallace
ShoulderOut
Saturday, Jan 11, 2025
Avatar
PG
Ajay Mitchell
ToeOut
© 2025 CBS INTERACTIVE INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. SportsLine and SportLine PRO are registered trademarks of SportsLine.com, Inc.FANS ONLY
In partnership with...247 Sports

FOLLOW US:

The content on this site is for entertainment purposes only and SportsLine makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. There is no gambling offered on this site. This site contains commercial content and SportsLine may be compensated for the links provided on this site.