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Mon, May 1312:00 am UTCTarget Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L64-30
ATS44-47
O/U40-52-1
FINAL SCORE
115
-
107
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-33
ATS49-45
O/U50-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
64-30
Win /Loss
65-33
44-47
Spread
49-45
40-52-1
Over / Under
50-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ MIN
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DEN @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ MIN
Subscribers Only

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42%
PUBLIC
58%
MONEY
29%
PUBLIC
71%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

1st Quarter Spread1st Quarter Minnesota -1.5 +100
LOSS
Unit1.0
+300
4-1 in Last 5 NBA Game Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Nuggets have been an incredibly slow starting team all postseason save for a few nights ago. I don't see them revving it back up like that here. They caught the Wolves a little full of themselves but MIN will crank the defensive intensity back up. They didn't build 30-point leads on Denver by accident. I expect them to feed off the crowd and ride their starters hard and get the Nuggets back on their heels.

Pick Made: May 12, 10:29 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsAnthony Edwards Over 28.5 Total Points -133
WIN
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

We saw ANT take over and dominate the first two games of this series. No reason he can't do it again. The Wolves will fight hard not to give up that home-field advantage they won in Denver. I expect Edwards to look to drive and attack the rim with abandon after a more tepid Game 3 and get to the line 10 times. He's too driven and creative to be held down again and it's pretty clear that this team operates at a higher level when he is dropping 35+.

Pick Made: May 12, 10:26 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineMinnesota -156
LOSS
Unit0.5
+2001.25
170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
+1841
107-55 in Last 162 NBA ML Picks
+456
28-12 in Last 40 DEN ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Can't say I was too surprised the Nuggets showed championship mettle in a must-win Game 3, but Nikola Jokic still is not shooting that great in the series, at least by his super-high standards. Minnesota's defense has been about six points better at home in these playoffs and I don't see the Wolves bricking 23 3-pointers again.

Pick Made: May 12, 10:17 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsNikola Jokic Over 27.5 Total Points -127
WIN
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

In the night cap I’ll tail Nikola Jokic over his points. After winning game three the belief is there for Denver. Game four is going to be an all out battle, and I expect Jokic to be that much more aggressive with his shot selection. This very well could be his best points production game of the postseason. Take his over on points.

Pick Made: May 12, 8:46 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDenver +3 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+1026
18-7 in Last 25 DEN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Maybe we owe the Nuggets an apology, as their bottoming out in Game 2 last week might have been just that...a low point. Recovering as quality teams do, Denver looked like the champion Denver from last season when destroying the T-wolves on Friday. Getting Michael Porter (21 points) going on Friday night in Game 3 took some of the pressure off of Jamal Murray and The Joker. Meanwhile, the T-wolves showed some vulnerability in games where Anthony Edwards doesn't dominate (only 19 points in Game 3, well beneath what he is capable). No edge yet in this series to playing at home! Play Nuggets

Pick Made: May 12, 2:40 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadMinnesota -2.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 DEN ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Wolves needed to get knocked down a beg after 6 straight mostly-emphatic playoff wins, That came but I don't think Denver is deep enough to keep that up, and I expect ANT to dominate at home Sunday afternoon. MIN is the better team and the deeper team and the bigger team. I don't think Jamal Murray is healthy enough to have another game like that and I don't think the Wolves have back-to-back stinkers at home. What they did to the Nuggets in Denver was no fluke. They bounce back here and out the champs on their heels

Pick Made: May 12, 3:35 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Saturday, Dec 07, 2024
Avatar
SF
Vlatko Cancar
KneeOut
Saturday, Jul 13, 2024
Avatar
PF
DaRon Holmes II
AchillesOut
Saturday, Jan 25, 2025
Avatar
SF
Spencer Jones
HandQuestionable
Minnesota Timberwolves
Saturday, Jan 25, 2025
Avatar
C
Jesse Edwards
UndisclosedOut
Friday, Jan 24, 2025
Avatar
SG
Donte DiVincenzo
ToeOut
Saturday, Jan 18, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terrence Shannon Jr.
FootOut
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