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Mon, Apr 221:30 am UTCPaycom Center
Track OnCBS Sports
New Orleans
Pelicans
NO
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-38
ATS46-40
O/U37-49-1
FINAL SCORE
92
-
94
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L63-29
ATS53-38
O/U48-41-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
50-38
Win /Loss
63-29
46-40
Spread
53-38
37-49-1
Over / Under
48-41-3
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
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C
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PG
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PF
Key Injuries
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SG
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PF
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C
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NO @ OKC
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MONEYLINE
NO @ OKC
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OVER / UNDER
NO @ OKC
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24%
PUBLIC
76%
MONEY
15%
PUBLIC
85%
MONEY
Over63%
PUBLIC
Under37%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + AssistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 34.5 Total Points + Assists -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

His speed will be a problem for the Pelicans and he is on the ball all the time and this is the time of year in the NBA when the brightest stars shine the brightest. SGA gets short end of MVP conversations and people seems always ready to discount what OKC has done. This guy averaged 31 points and 7 assists at home this season. Would anyone be shocked if he went for 35 and 10 helpers tonight? I'm old enough to remember the Lakers beating NO twice within a couple of days in NOLA no less. SGA puts on a show tonight

Pick Made: Apr 21, 11:43 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadOklahoma City -8.5 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 NO ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

So far it's been a very chalky NBA playoffs for Game 1. Favorites are basically covering and teams are winning pretty easily at home. This should be more of the same. OKC won the top seed in a brutaly difficult Western Conference and while they lack playoff pedigree so do the middling Pelicans who are without Zion, their best player by far, and with Brandon Ingram not looking right since he returned, OKC can run them ragged. OKC was 27-14 ATS at home. It's been rough going so far for beat up teams that had to work through the play-in games. Thunder crowd will be intense and they are just too talented. Could get lopsided early

Pick Made: Apr 21, 11:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadOklahoma City -8 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+390
5-1 in Last 6 NO ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Trendlines in Saturday in opening-round NBA playoff games were skewed sharply to the home sides, which won and covered all four opportunities. No surprise if OKC continues that pattern on Sunday against an NO side that the Thunder won and covered against in the last two regular-season meetings. Though we suspect the Pels can maintain competitiveness in this series, the absence of Zion does them no favors, and OKC was definitely able to make a fortress of its home court late in the season, winning and covering its last five at home, with a hefty win margin of 23 ppg. Play Thunder

Pick Made: Apr 21, 2:10 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsJosh Giddey Under 25.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -125
WIN
Unit1.5
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This line is simply too big for Josh Giddey when OKC is at full strength. Giddeys usage and playing time significantly increase when the Thunder are without either Shai Gilgeous Alexander and/or Jalen Williams. When both players are active, Giddey averages around 20 PRA, compared to over 30 when SGA is inactive this season. This game is also likely to be paced down coupled with New Orleans having an excellent defense. This is a great spot to fade Giddey in a tough matchup.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 10:25 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

New Orleans Pelicans
Saturday, Dec 07, 2024
Avatar
C
Daniel Theis
NeckOut
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PF
Karlo Matkovic
BackOut
Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
Avatar
PF
Zion Williamson
HamstringOut
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SG
Jordan Hawkins
BackOut
Tuesday, Nov 12, 2024
Avatar
PG
Jose Alvarado
HamstringOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
Friday, Dec 06, 2024
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SG
Alex Ducas
AchillesQuestionable
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PF
Jaylin Williams
HamstringOut
Sunday, Nov 24, 2024
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SF
Ousmane Dieng
FingerOut
Monday, Nov 11, 2024
Avatar
C
Chet Holmgren
HipOut
Thursday, Nov 07, 2024
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
KneeOut
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