The Warriors are desperate for this win with a two-game lead over the Rockets, who they play on Thursday, for the final Play-in spot, but the Mavs are jockeying for postseason positioning as well and they are simply playing too well right now. Golden State should be 3-point dogs at minimum but reputation and the home court is buying them points with causal bettors. Don't fall for it. Dallas wins.

They seemed to delight in dismantling the upstart Rockets on Sun with Luka - showing up in injury report a bunch - destroying them. So much for his ouchies. Another chance to send a message here against an up-and-down Warriors team. DAL covered 5 straight and 11 of 12. Mavs have won 7 in a row. Nine of those 11 wins are by 6+. GS 1-4 ATS last 5 at home. GS (-1) is 11-19 ATS as a home favorite.