Kelly Olynyk and a potential blowout/minutes restriction is all that stands between the breakout big and a massive rebounding night. Toronto allowing the most rebounds in the NBA this month, short on guys who can work the boards, and facing a massive talent imbalance tonight. Chet should come in smelling a double-double. Some bigs are grabbing this in about a half of work vs TOR these days: Sabonis 17, Duren 23/Wiseman 10 (same game), Jokic 17, Ayton 19, Nurkic 14, Valenciunas 10 (in 20 mins). Holmgren has 11+ rebounds in 3 of last 4 games.

This is a big number, but the Raptors are a total disaster right now and most average teams have backups who can beat them; OKC can build a 30-point lead here - becoming the norm - and they backups can prevent a collapse. TOR 2-9 ATS last 11 and 0-6 ATS last 6 at home. They have failed to cover those 6 games by: 23, 4, 31.5, 2, 12.5 and 7,5, even as these spreads grow larger. TOR 13-21 ATS at home and 5-12 as a home dog. Good spot for OKC to end their 0-4 ATS slide. Toronto just cant compete and hold up and really aren't fielding an NBA caliber team right now. They seem resigned to losing by 20+.