Jaden Ivey has played 69 minutes over the past two games, scoring 28 and 18 points. I like him to keep scoring in what should be a fast-paced environment in Sacramento. It doesn't hurt that Detroit's top two scorers, Cade Cunningham (knee) and Bojan Bogdanovic (calf), are questionable.

We have taken advantage on some discounted lines with our spots here is the inverse in a severely inflated line. Credit to Harrison Barnes who is playing good basketball but this should be 14.5. Barnes is averaging 12.2 PPG and his sudden uptick in scoring is not the result of increased usage or playing time which is a clear indicator he is a major regression candidate. The Kings are as healthy as they've been all season long and have a bevy of capable scorers. Sacramento are also 13 point favorites at home against a Pistons team that have won 2 games on the road and to summarize there is some serious blowout risk here as well.