This spread indicates solid Nikola Jokic minutes. Indiana is 4-3 SU in their recent stretch without Tyrese Halliburton, so they didn’t completely fall apart without him. Jokic is 9-4 to this over when Denver is favored by 3.5 to 5.5 points. The Sportsline Model has him projected to hit the over in all three stats.

Sometimes tampering with a good thing might not be the best idea, though the thought that the Pacers might be something less now that they've added ex-Raptor Pascal Siakam (with whom Indiana is now 0-2) could be a bit too contrarian. The pacers had recently won nine of then before this recent lull, and had functioned somewhat effectively minus Tyrese Haliburton (still not ready to return from hamstring injury). Denver, despite winning its last two on this road trip (and dealing Boston its first loss of the season in the process), is still just 3-6 vs. the spread its last nine games, and has dropped its last four vs. the spread as road chalk. Play Pacers

Tyrese Haliburton will not make it back tonight and the Pacers aren't the same without their turbo engine. They can still throw up 130 at times without him but pretty rarely. Denver ranks sixth in the league in scoring defense. This has dropped from 241.5.