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    Sun 05/28 | 12:30 AM UTC | Miami
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Boston Celtics 68-33, 53-45 ATS
    BOS -2-110
    BOS -115
    Over 210-110
    Miami Heat 58-47, 45-57 ATS
    MIA +2-110
    MIA -105
    Under 210-110

    Expert Picks

    NBA | Boston 104 @ Miami 103 | 05/28 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Boston -130

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Ideally Malcolm Brogdon wouldn't have been ruled out when making this play, but he basically was a non-factor the past two games, both Boston wins, regardless. Now it may be Jerry Sichting .... err Payton Pritchard time! Really, the Celtics simply remembered how to make three-pointers of late and the Heat remembered that they weren't all-world from deep during the regular season like they were the first three games of this series. Boston has seemed to play its best basketball in elimination games.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +3379 106-57-1 IN LAST 164 NBA PICKS
    +2765 86-36 IN LAST 122 NBA ML PICKS
    +1321 38-16 IN LAST 54 BOS ML PICKS
    +537 29-14 IN LAST 43 MIA ML PICKS
    +1680 32-12 on NBA Props Picks

    Season Splits

    68-33, 53-45 ATS
    58-47, 45-57 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    54%
    53-44-3
    41-54-5
    43%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    53%
    25-22-2
    19-27-4
    41%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or PK
    51%
    44-42-3
    20-15
    57%
    When Spread was -4 to -1
    SPREAD
    When Spread was +1 to +4
    61%
    13-8-1
    9-5
    64%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    47%
    18-20-2
    6-2
    75%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    63%
    26-15
    26-20-2
    56%
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    54%
    51-43-3
    41-52-5
    44%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    53%
    46-40-1
    36-46-4
    43%
    vs MIA
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs BOS
    44%
    4-5
    5-4
    55%