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    Sat, May 2012:30 am UTCTD Garden
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Miami
    Heat
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L58-49
    ATS46-58
    O/U51-54-2
    FINAL SCORE
    111
    -
    105
    Boston
    Celtics
    BOS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L68-34
    ATS55-46
    O/U52-48-2
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    58-49
    Win /Loss
    68-34
    46-58
    Spread
    55-46
    51-54-2
    Over / Under
    52-48-2
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    SF
    Avatar
    SG
    Avatar
    PF
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    MIA @ BOS
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    MIA @ BOS
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    OVER / UNDER
    MIA @ BOS
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

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    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsDerrick White Over 13.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -127
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1368.5
    70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    I expected Derrick White to play closer to 25-30 minutes tonight and considering he is averaging close to 19 PRA in the playoffs, it is coming at a nice discount. The theme after Boston's game 1 loss has been spacing and I expect less of Boston's two big lineup as a result.

    Pick Made: May 20, 12:09 am UTC on Caesars
    Money LineBoston -455
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +685
    10-3 in Last 13 NBA Picks
    Tim's Analysis:

    Boston is winning this game. You know it. I know it. The American people know it. The Celtics fell asleep at the wheel in Game 1 and got caught. This isn’t the first time they have done that this postseason. But I also like Miami to cover. So if you want to get weird and try to middle this game, I won't talk you off it.

    Pick Made: May 19, 11:17 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadMiami +10 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +690
    8-1 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +225
    9-6-1 in Last 16 MIA ATS Picks
    Tim's Analysis:

    Boston fell asleep at the wheel in Game 1 and got caught. This isn’t the first time the Celtics have done that this postseason. I fully expect the Celtics to even the series tonight. But with so many points available, I’ll grab those with Miami and Jimmy Butler, who is playing like a man on a mission.

    Pick Made: May 19, 10:02 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsMarcus Smart Over 16.5 Total Points + Rebounds -117
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +273
    20-14 in Last 34 NBA Player Props Picks
    Tom's Analysis:

    He isn't the biggest name, but Marcus Smart has been one of the most important players on the Celtics. His contributions are far more than what shows up in the box score, but hey typically does a good job filling that up too. While he hasn't finished over 16.5 points and rebounds in the last two games, he's averaging 19.5 per game in the playoffs and has gone over this total in 10 of 13 games. Furthermore, while he's averaging 19.5 points and rebounds per game overall, following Celtics losses that number has climbed to 23.8. When his team has needed a win, Smart has come through each time.

    Pick Made: May 19, 3:35 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total AssistsJimmy Butler Under 5.5 Total Assists -101
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1368.5
    70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Jimmy Butler has failed to dish out six assists in 7 of 11 postseason games this season. He averaged 5.3 APG in the regular season and is averaging 5.5 APG in the playoffs. Boston surrendered the second fewest assists in the NBA this season at only 22.8 per game. Butler averaged 6 assists in his series against the Knicks but he was almost exclusively doubled by New York, something Boston just isn't willing to concede. Considering the low game total, some blowout potential, and that the Heat are likely to be playing from behind in this game, I suspect Jimmy will be focused more on scoring rather than playmaking.

    Pick Made: May 19, 1:52 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total TurnoversJaylen Brown Over 2.5 Total Turnovers -154
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1245
    28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    We played the over on this same total for Game 1. It cashed with ease when Jaylen Brown turned the ball over six times. That marked his fourth straight game with at least three turnovers. The Heat are an aggressive defensive team and Brown is a shakey dribbler, which has contributed to him turning the ball over 20 times against them in four total meetings. Until this line moves up to 3.5, I’m going to keep playing the over.

    Pick Made: May 19, 1:38 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 216 -110
    PUSH
    Unit1.0
    +465
    7-2-1 in Last 10 NBA Picks
    +200
    2-0-1 in Last 3 BOS O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    I make this total 213 which is basically where it closed in game one. I think the adjustment is a little too extreme here considering the stakes of the game (must win for Boston) and the teams overall defensive ratings. I don't expect Miami to shoot over 50 percent from 3, and I don't expect as many turnovers on the Boston side. I'm on the Under just like last night in LAL/DEN.

    Pick Made: May 19, 1:28 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadMiami +9 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1029.25
    74-46 in Last 120 NBA Picks
    +224
    6-3 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +404.5
    10-6 in Last 16 BOS ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    The Celtics are 3-0 following their previous home losses in these playoffs, and I'm about 97.4 percent sure they win Friday -- I'll probably be playing Jayson Tatum to have at least three made three-pointers and Celtics to win at -145 on a prop -- but you simply have to take this many points after what we saw in Game 1. "Heat Culture" is a bit irritating to hear over and over, frankly, but it's real. Thanks to Pat Riley, it's one of the most professional franchises in worldwide sports. My point being that the team is too well coached/trained by Erik Spoelstra to simply punt on Game 2 -- as we have seen with other teams this postseason after taking 1-0 road lead -- because it already stole home-court advantage in Game 1.

    Pick Made: May 18, 6:33 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadMiami +9 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1249
    16-3 in Last 19 NBA Picks
    +563
    43-34 in Last 77 MIA ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    What are we doing here? The Heat beat the Celtics by seven points in Game 1, dominating in the second half. And yet, they are even bigger underdogs for Game 2? I’d be shocked if the Celtics lost this game. If they do, the series might be over with the Heat up 2-0 heading to Miami. However, the Heat are not going to take their foot off the gas just because they won Game 1. This is a team that is wired for the playoffs, especially when they are underdogs. Look them to keep things close enough to cover this big number.

    Pick Made: May 18, 2:21 pm UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    Miami Heat
    Friday, Jul 12, 2024
    Avatar
    PF
    Nikola Jovic
    AnkleProbable
    Thursday, May 02, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Jimmy Butler
    KneeProbable
    Avatar
    SG
    Josh Richardson
    ShoulderProbable
    Boston Celtics
    Thursday, Jun 27, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Kristaps Porzingis
    FootOut