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    Fri, Mar 312:00 am UTCBall Arena
    New Orleans
    Pelicans
    NO
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L42-40
    ATS39-41
    O/U44-38-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Denver
    Nuggets
    DEN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L53-29
    ATS44-37
    O/U44-38-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    42-40
    Win /Loss
    53-29
    39-41
    Spread
    44-37
    44-38-0
    Over / Under
    44-38-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    PG
    Avatar
    SF
    Avatar
    PG
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SF
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Expert Picks

    PropJamal Murray UNDER 9.5 Total Assists -137
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3379
    106-57-1 in Last 164 NBA Picks
    +1680
    32-12 on NBA Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    This is really high. Guess I get it with Nikola Jokic out, meaning Murray will handle the ball more, but he averages 6.2 assists per game and has had double digits in only a handful of games this season. Denver will actually need Murray to score more with no Joker, so yeah I'm happy with this number. The Model has him with 6.8 assists. Bueno.

    Pick Made: Mar 31, 1:06 am UTC
    PropAaron Gordon OVER 14.5 Total Points -117
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +275
    5-2 in Last 7 NBA Picks
    +563
    30-21 on NBA Props Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    Aaron Gordon is averaging just 13.8 points per game in March, 2.5 points off of his regular-season average. Additionally, he has not scored more than 15 points since March 14, a span of six games. That should change against a Pelicans team that Gordon averaged 15 against in three games. He also was much more aggressive his last game against the 76ers with 14 shots. Take his Over on Thursday.

    Pick Made: Mar 30, 9:10 pm UTC
    PropAaron Gordon OVER 23.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +502
    33-22 in Last 55 NBA Picks
    +567
    32-21 on NBA Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    I consider this a free roll on Aaron Gordon's combo line as he is more than capable of eclipsing this line even in the event Nikola Jokic plays tonight. However if Jokic sits, I expect this line will likely close in the 27.5-29.5 range. Gordon is averaging 25.5 PRA playing alongside Jokic, compared to 34 PRA in games Jokic has been inactive this season. Jumping on this before Jokic is ruled out.

    Pick Made: Mar 30, 4:00 pm UTC
    PropTrey Murphy III OVER 15.5 Total Points -106
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    Pelicans shooting guard Trey Murphy has scored at least 16 points in five straight games, and for the whole month of March he's shooting 46.3 percent from deep. In his last visit to Denver, Murphy only scored 14 points, but he's been much more aggressive lately. This month he's averaging 35.3 minutes and 18.9 points. Go Over.

    Pick Made: Mar 30, 3:39 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    New Orleans Pelicans
    Monday, Sep 18, 2023
    Avatar
    PG
    Jose Alvarado
    AnkleProbable
    Monday, Sep 11, 2023
    Avatar
    SF
    Brandon Ingram
    IllnessProbable
    Thursday, Sep 07, 2023
    Avatar
    SF
    Trey Murphy III
    KneeOut
    Tuesday, Jul 11, 2023
    Avatar
    PG
    CJ McCollum
    ThumbProbable
    Avatar
    PF
    Zion Williamson
    HamstringProbable
    Denver Nuggets
    Thursday, Aug 24, 2023
    Avatar
    SF
    Vlatko Cancar
    KneeOut

    Season Splits

    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    48%
    36-39-1
    40-34-1
    54%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    39%
    15-23-1
    23-14-1
    62%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    39%
    15-23-1
    30-27-1
    52%
    When Spread was +2 to +5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -5 to -2
    45%
    10-12-1
    9-10
    47%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    30%
    8-18-1
    21-14-1
    60%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
    26%
    7-19
    16-12-1
    57%
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    45%
    33-39-1
    39-32-1
    54%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    50%
    32-32-1
    34-30-1
    53%
    vs DEN
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs NO
    66%
    2-1
    1-2
    33%