This is really high. Guess I get it with Nikola Jokic out, meaning Murray will handle the ball more, but he averages 6.2 assists per game and has had double digits in only a handful of games this season. Denver will actually need Murray to score more with no Joker, so yeah I'm happy with this number. The Model has him with 6.8 assists. Bueno.

Aaron Gordon is averaging just 13.8 points per game in March, 2.5 points off of his regular-season average. Additionally, he has not scored more than 15 points since March 14, a span of six games. That should change against a Pelicans team that Gordon averaged 15 against in three games. He also was much more aggressive his last game against the 76ers with 14 shots. Take his Over on Thursday.

I consider this a free roll on Aaron Gordon's combo line as he is more than capable of eclipsing this line even in the event Nikola Jokic plays tonight. However if Jokic sits, I expect this line will likely close in the 27.5-29.5 range. Gordon is averaging 25.5 PRA playing alongside Jokic, compared to 34 PRA in games Jokic has been inactive this season. Jumping on this before Jokic is ruled out.

Pelicans shooting guard Trey Murphy has scored at least 16 points in five straight games, and for the whole month of March he's shooting 46.3 percent from deep. In his last visit to Denver, Murphy only scored 14 points, but he's been much more aggressive lately. This month he's averaging 35.3 minutes and 18.9 points. Go Over.