This is a matchup made in heaven for Valanciunas, who is one of the better rebounders in the league. His playing time has dropped to just 25 minutes per game for the season, but he is still averaging 9.8 rebounds. He has played at least 28 minutes in each of the last three games, hauling in a total of 44 rebounds. The Hornets have allowed the second-most rebounds per game in the league and will once again be without Mark Williams (thumb). This is a big number, but I still like Valanciunas to hit the over.

This is a lofty number for Brandon Ingram who is averaging 23.5 PPG. Ingram has been held under this line in 7 of his last 10 appearances and 24/35 overall games, a 68% hit rate to the under. At first glance this may appear to be a plus match up but the Hornets have been playing great defense over the second half of the season. Charlotte are 3rd in Defensive Rating since the All-Star break. Considering the Hornets were at one point ranked in the bottom five in this category, this is an especially impressive turn around. They have also been stingy against opposing Forwards. This game possesses blow out potential and there are a multitude of ways that Ingram stays under this line.