I'm wondering why the Nuggets would even play Murray tonight -- maybe they won't. This should be an absolute blowout, even with how bad the Nugs look right now. Not sure if Murray's knee is bothering him, but he has been brutal from the field in three of his past four games and didn't sniff 20 points in any of those. I'll hope that continues and if this is a rout as expected, he shouldn't in there very long regardless. The SL Model has him with 16.9 points. Any questions or comments? Twitter addresses have been added to SL expert bios (mine is @jordanpaytonsn1) so check those out.

The Nuggets should feast on this bad Pistons team -- the only real question is whether they'll call off the dogs before the Over hits. My model has the Over cashing in 68% of its simulations, with a projected final total 237. That's excellent value.