Nikola Jokic has recorded a triple-double in an NBA record 10 straight games at Ball Arena. Jokic has also recorded a triple-double in 11 of his last 14 games. I would recommend parlaying this with Nuggets money line as the Nuggets are 25-0 when Jokic records a triple-double.

Denver is one of the great against-the-spread teams in the NBA. The Nuggets are 36-27-1 ATS overall, and 22-10-1 at home. My model projects the final score as 124-111 to Denver, and has the home team covering in 66% of simulations. It's hard to go into Nikola Jokic's house and cover the spread. I expect the Nuggets to defend home turf again.