Miami has lost four in a row (0-4 ATS) and is wrapping up a road trip. It visits a strong Philly team looking to bounce back from a painful loss to the Celtics. The 76ers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. Miami remains without Kyle Lowry (knee) and the addition of Kevin Love has not significantly upgraded the Heat. Tyler Herro (rib contusion) is questionable. If he sits, it's another blow to Miami's struggling offense. Lay the points.

Never easy to fade an MVP candidate but this is a monster number in what is a difficult matchup. Embiid is coming off an monster 41 point game on Saturday against the Celtics but he will face arguably the best defensive big man and DPOY year candidate Bam Adebayo. Both the 76ers and Heat play very slow and rank in the bottom five in Pace / possessions per game. The Heat have surrendered the second fewest points to opposing Centers this season as well. This game has a tiny 217 point total and while Embiid is capable of scoring 40 against any opponent on any given night, the Heat are a great defensive team and this is a sub optimal game environment for high individual scoring performances.