I was on the fence for this excellent matchup -- hugely unusual 9 pm local time start in Milwaukee due to national TV -- when it was at Bucks -4.5 but now that it's all the way down to -2, I'll play it on the spread instead of -140 on the ML. The Bucks are absolutely on fire offensively right now during a five-game winning streak as they are averaging 131.4 points per game on 50.5% shooting from the field with a 40.6% mark from three. Milwaukee has scored 120+ points in each of its last three games, marking a new season-long streak.

Having Khris Middleton back is big for the Bucks. Although he’s still playing limited minutes off the bench, the Bucks have won all five games since he made his return. All five of those wins came by at least eight points and three of them came at home. The Bucks have played well at home, going 17-9 there against the spread. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez are a matchup problem for a Clippers team that doesn’t have much of a presence in the paint outside of Ivica Zubac, so look for the Bucks to cover.