The Under cashed in 58.8 percent of Mavericks games this season. But in the last seven games, they went 6-1 with six of them going way Over the total. There's no Luka Doncic in Game 1, but Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie running the show will give Utah trouble. This total is eight points lower than their last meeting 20 days ago. I’m on the Over.

In really no surprise, Shams Charania is reporting that Luka Doncic is not expected to play in Game 1 vs. Utah with his strained calf. I wanted to grab this line earlier this week when it was down around -140 but wanted to make sure. Guess I'll just risk it now while still under -200. Not impossible the Mavs can win/cover the spread at home without Luka, but with the Jazz fully healthy it's hard to see an outright victory.