If this game were played at the beginning of March, I’d be all over the Timberwolves to win at home. But they’re a different team right now, having lost six of their last 10 contests. And they were critical losses under pressure, as Minnesota was chasing the No. 6 playoff seed in the Western Conference. The Clippers are playing their best brand of basketball of the season right now. They enter with a five-game winning steak (4-1 ATS) and have won and covered four of their last five meetings with the Timberwolves. Take Los Angeles and the points.

If this spread ticked up even a point higher, I'd probably take the points. I do think Minnesota wins at home, though. There might be an injury concern for LA with Luke Kennard (11.8 ppg) as well. Since the New Year, the Timberwolves boast the best offensive rating in the NBA. Their starting lineup of D'Angelo Russell, Patrick Beverley, Anthony Edwards, Jarred Vanderbilt and Karl-Anthony Towns has a net rating of 12.8, the second-best net rating in the league. The Clippers are seven games under .500 on the road. Minnesota is 11 over at home.