Jayson Tatum and the Celtics are red hot, but so are Luka Doncic and the Mavericks. IN that case, one would assume everything about this bet screams Mavericks with seven points. I'll be honest, a lot of this is going against that instinct. Nothing that every seems easy is actually easy in the books. Give me Boston, terrific at home, to lock down late and pull away for the cover in the fourth.

Both of these teams average more than 106 points per game, and The Celtics have scored at least 114 in their past four (getting to 120 twice). They have two strong scorers in Jayson Tatum (26.8 per game) and Jaylen Brown (23), while Dallas counters with Luka Doncic (28.1). The Mavs have scored at least 107 in nine of their past 10. The model projects the total go over 220, and the over is hitting 68 percent of the time.