Two teams headed in opposite directions. Oklahoma City is 6-11 straight up over its last 17 games but 13-3-1 against the spread. San Antonio is just 2-10 straight up in its last 12 contests and 2-8 ATS in its last 10. The Thunder have a slight edge in defense as well, allowing 109.8 points per 100 possessions, while the Spurs allow 110.4.

Neither of these teams is any good, so it’s a bit surprising that the spread is this large. The Thunder have also played well on the road, posting a 14-7 record there ATS. While the Thunder are 2-7 in their last nine games straight up, they went 7-1-1 ATS during that stretch. I like their chances of keeping this game relatively close.