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Sun 06/20 | 12:30 AM UTC | Brooklyn
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Milwaukee Bucks 53-29, 36-44 ATS
MIL +2
MIL +110
Over 215.5
Brooklyn Nets 55-28, 45-37 ATS
BKN -2
BKN -130
Under 215.5

Expert Picks

Milwaukee 115 @ Brooklyn 111 | 06/20 | 12:30 AM UTC

Brooklyn -124

PENDING

ANALYSIS: The Bucks have outplayed the Nets for the past four games, winning three, but in a Game 7 you have to take the best player and that's Kevin Durant. My concerns with Milwaukee in a game like this are the free-throw shooting of Giannis Antetokounmpo and, frankly, the questionable coaching of Mike Budenholzer, who probably is a goner with a loss -- Rick Carlisle has been mentioned as an upgrade. If the game is tied with, say, four seconds left, who do you want on the line: Durant or the Freak? Exactly. Plus, James Harden does seem to be improving by the day. Of course, if he leaves early with that hammy then all bets are off (I wish). I would also lean Under.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1639 82-41 IN LAST 123 NBA ML PICKS
+599 10-3 IN LAST 13 MIL ML PICKS
+397 8-3 IN LAST 11 BKN ML PICKS

Season Splits

53-29, 36-44 ATS
55-28, 45-37 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
36-44-2
45-37-1
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
38%
15-24-2
24-17-1
58%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
14%
1-6
30-29-1
50%
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
16%
1-5
9-5
64%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-4
17-15-1
53%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
46%
14-16
16-10
61%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
44%
35-43-2
43-37-1
53%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
47%
31-35-2
39-29
57%
vs BKN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIL
44%
4-5
5-4
55%