The Bulls are coming off of a disappointing loss to Atlanta in which they wasted a 50-point performance by Zach LaVine. The Hawks double- and triple-teamed LaVine in the second half to make their comeback, snapping Chicago's three-game winning streak. It’s important to note that, for the Bulls, it was another loss to a team with a winning record. However, against clubs that have won fewer than 45 percent of their games, Chicago is 17-5-1 ATS. Look for the team to bounce back with a win - and cover along the way.

The Bulls have done a greta job lately of beating teams they’re supposed to. And they're supposed to beat the Timberwolves, who have the worst record in the NBA. Chicago is fighting for a playoff spot while Minnesota is looking to next season. My model says the Bulls cover almost 70 percent of the time and win by 11, so you're getting good value at this number.