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Understanding Public and Money
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I'm doubling down for the first time this season on an NBA game. I took the Suns at -215 on the moneyline vs. the Dubs late Wednesday night because Golden State would be playing the second of a back-to-back and I thought there was a good chance the Warriors would rest a key player or two here in the final game before the All-Star break. Well, news just broke that Steph Curry and Draymond Green are out -- and Kelly Oubre probably misses a second straight game due to injury (see news feed story). So let's cash on the ML and spread here.
I don't always recommend betting games 24 hours before they happen, but sometimes you can get great value. I think the Suns at this number (current spread of -5) are such because it's the second of a back-to-back for the Dubs and they played Wednesday without an injured Kelly Oubre. Obviously, then, a decent chance he misses here and I could see a banged-up Draymond Green getting the second of a B2B off as well. If those two things happen, this number is going to rise considerably. The Suns appear healthy and are on regular rest after winning at the Lakers on Tuesday. You could argue giving 5 points right now, too, but I've been getting burned so often lately by 1-2 points on NBA spread wagers that I'm not even going to risk it. I'll pay $215 to win $100.
Team Injuries




