The Hawks have lost three straight and six of seven, with all the defeats coming against better teams. The question here is whether the young Knicks fit that bill. Atlanta's spread on the road says it's better, but I can’t make that claim. New York battles, has the NBA’s No. 1 defense and seems willing to listen and learn from coach Tom Thibodeau. The Knicks, who have won two straight and four of six, posted a 113-108 victory at Atlanta on Jan. 4. They get the cover here.

My model says the Hawks cover in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value at this number. Atlanta has struggled of late, losing three straight games and six of its last seven. But the Hawks will have revenge on their minds after suffering a five-point loss against New York at home early January. New York topped Houston by 22 points on Saturday but has yet to win more than once on a homestand this season. Take Atlanta.