The undefeated Magic get no respect at home here despite playing one of the worst road teams from last season. Sixers coach Doc Rivers probably has to do some kind of psych training to get Philly mentally ready for a road game. The Magic just came off an impressive three-game road trip, winning and covering all of them. They’re 4-0 ATS this season, and have won and covered their last four meetings with the Sixers in Orlando.

Orlando is overvalued after a hot 4-0 start to the season. My simulations make the Sixers -4.8 points better against the Magic with Embiid in for Philadelphia, and Ross out for Orlando.