The banged-up Heat will get some help Monday as Jimmy Butler and Goran Dragic are expected to return from injuries. They need the boost as they have lost two straight to fall into a tie for the No. 4 seed in the East with the Pacers, who have been one of the bubble's hottest teams. But this looms as a letdown spot for Indiana coming off its upset of the Lakers and it stands to reason bubble scoring leader T.J. Warren is bound to cool off at some point.

The Heat welcome back both Jimmy Butler (foot) and Goran Dragic (ankle) for this matchup against the Pacers. Normally, having two starters back is high value ATS. But expect Miami to be cautious and restrict their minutes. Look for Indiana to continue to excel and improve to 5-1 ATS in the bubble.

These teams are tied for the fourth seed in the East with identical records and most likely will be playing each other in the first round of the playoffs. I always feel like teams will be more vanilla on offense when they know they might face each other in the postseason. They will play twice in the next four days, so I'm expecting one of the games will go Under the total - if not both, depending on the adjustment from the bookmakers. Indiana plays solid defense, is average offensively and slows down the pace. It has the 18th-best offense, sixth-best defense and ranks 22nd in possessions. Miami ranks seventh offensively, 13th defensively and has the 27th-most possessions per game.