My model says that the 76ers cover the spread 63 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Philadelphia went winless on its four-game road trip but is back home, where it has gone 16-2 this season. The Sixers have won each of their last two home games by at least 12 points. Take Philadelphia.

The Thunder faced the 76ers at home on Nov. 15 and posted a 127-119 win in overtime. Oklahoma City is more polished this time around, while Philadelphia is in a tailspin after losing all four games on its just-completed road trip. The Thunder are the best cover team in the NBA and are 12-5 ATS on the road as well. The Sixers have to turn it around soon, but until they do, I’ll keep betting against them.