The first matchup between these clubs produced just 195 points. Although the rematch Thursday night should result in a few more buckets, this total still feels a tad high. It's about 15 points higher than the combined defensive scoring average of the two teams, both of which can clamp down when they put their minds to it. Look for this one to go Under the total.

I've been picking and choosing my spots with Clippers totals all season long and it's worked well. This matchup is one of those times when I believe the total is too high and overlooks how good the Clippers are defensively. There's going to be a playoff atmosphere to this game, and both teams will be looking to make a statement. No easy buckets. No Over.

I'm really looking forward to watching this game, and I think the Rockets are a little undervalued by this line. The Rockets have only been underdogs four times this season, but they've covered in three of them. The Clippers, meanwhile, are 11-4 ATS at home this season, which is awesome. It's also unsustainable.