While most of the attention when talking about Houston focuses on an efficient offense built around James Harden and Russell Westbrook, it's a better defensive team than most realize. Then there are the Raptors, and they rank fourth in the NBA in defensive efficiency. This total is a little too high. Plus, you never know how many dunks the refs won't count!

The Raptors are now back at full strength with Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka healthy. They played well despite missing two key parts of their rotation and have an 8-2 ATS record at home. Meanwhile, the Rockets are coming off a disappointing loss to the Spurs on the road Tuesday despite the San Antonio not having LaMarcus Aldridge. With the Rockets only 4-6 ATS on the road, I’ll take the Raptors to cover the small number.