The Texas Rangers are now 9-0 in road games this postseason after a 3-1 win in Game 3 of the World Series over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday night, but the Rangers' chances of becoming the first club with a double-digit postseason road winning streak may depend on the status of All-Star outfielder and ALCS MVP Adolis Garcia, who left Monday's game with an injury. Needless to say, his status will impact the lines for Game 4 at Chase Field. Click here for model picks.
At BetMGM, Texas opened at -115 and is now -110 with just 36% of the bets and 34% of the money coming in on the Rangers despite that road success. On the total of 9.5 runs, 73% of the bets and 75% of the money are on the Under – which is the side I'm playing. At +1.5 (-175) on the run line, Arizona is taking 43% of the bets and 36% of the money.
Monday's Rangers win broke a tie for most consecutive playoff road victories in a single postseason with the 2019 Washington Nationals and 1996 New York Yankees. Both teams won it all. The Rangers are -285 on the updated World Series line and the Diamondbacks are +240. Teams that win Game 3 of the World Series have gone on to win the title 75 times (63.6%), including in 12 of the last 23 years.
Garcia was the +240 favorite to win World Series MVP entering Game 3 but is now +1900 after taking an awkward swing on a flyout to center field in the eighth inning. He immediately grimaced and grabbed his side after making contact and was replaced in right field by Travis Jankowski in the bottom of the inning. The Rangers are awaiting MRI results. Garcia leads all players this postseason with eight home runs and 22 RBI (an MLB playoff record) to go with a 1.108 OPS. Jankowski or Robbie Grossman would start in right field if Garcia can't.
Corey Seager, whose two-run homer in the third inning proved to be the winning blow, is now the -165 World Series MVP favorite. It was his 18th career postseason home run, tied for the second-most in history for shortstps with Carlos Correa. Derek Jeter holds the record with 20.
Teams that score first this postseason are now 30-9 (.769) and Texas is 8-0 when doing so. The Rangers were out-hit in Game 3, only their 15th win this year in such a game. The Diamondbacks are now 70-17 when they record more hits than their opponents.
The starting pitchers may not matter all that much Tuesday because neither lefty, Andrew Heaney or Joe Mantiply, is expected out there long – especially Mantiply, who is a true short-stint reliever whose season high for innings in a game is two.
Mantiply has taken the mound eight times in these playoffs, working just 6.1 innings. He's 1-2 with a 4.26 ERA and probably was given the "start" simply to deal with the lefty Seager in the top of the first. Seager is 2-for-4 off Mantiply and +320 to homer for the third time in the series on Tuesday.
Heaney was mostly a starter during the regular season but hasn't gone more than 3.2 innings in four playoff outings, working to a 6.00 ERA in six total innings. He pitched two-thirds of an inning in Game 1 and allowed a hit. Expect Heaney to be followed early, probably no later than the fourth inning (if not sooner), by Dane Dunning.
There are no props for either pitcher to personally win the game. Heaney is set at over/under 9.5 outs and Mantiply doesn't have an innings total.
There has not been an error committed through the first three games of this year's World Series, which is an MLB first.
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