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DraftKings. Kyle Bradish takes the bump at Camden Yards today, where he’s stayed under this line in six of seven starts. Overall, he’s allowed just 28 hits in 41.2 home innings this season. Pitching in his first full season since 2023, the big righty’s .233 xBA has him in the 62nd percentile, helped by a 52% ground ball rate (82nd percentile). He’ll take on the Mariners who only hit .238 against ground-ball pitchers, and as a team struggle with breaking balls, hitting a combined .200 against righties sliders and curveballs (50% of Bradish’s arsenal).
Seventh road game in a row without a day off for the Mariners, who were routed on Wednesday and got some bad news pre-game when maybe the best setup man in the majors, Matt Brash (3-0. 0.54 ERA), was placed on the IL. Thursday starter Bryan Woo has dominated at home but is 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA away. He was hit hard last time out in Detroit. Wednesday's win snapped a four-game skid for the O's. Pete Alonso stayed hot with a homer. Kyle Bradish goes tonight, and he has a 2.38 ERA at home with four straight quality starts at Camden Yards. As home dogs, the Orioles are an excellent 12-5 ATS.
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