Tanner Bibee has a 4.21 ERA overall, but in five home starts it’s 1.63. He’s 0-5 overall because of no support, but he could get support here. Cleveland owns a .781 OPS vs. left-handers this month, and it faces one here in Andrew Abbott. He hasn’t gone over six innings in any of his nine starts, and has usually been pulled in the fifth or sixth. Cincy’s bullpen this month has a 7.63 ERA and ranks dead-last in home runs allowed with the highest walk rate and batting average allowed.

Caesar’s. Andrew Abbott has struggled out of the gate this season. Pitching to a 4.47 ERA (4.73 xERA), the Reds lefty has remained under this outs line in six of nine starts. His struggles this season could be attributed to his raised arm angle, which has allowed for batters to pick up the ball better: his chase and whiff rates are down, and his xBA of .281 is significantly higher than his previous career high of .233. The Guardians will make him work, as they see the most pitches per plate appearance (4.09) in baseball, with the eighth lowest chase rate. And over the last 30 days against southpaws, the Guardians have registered a .767 OPS and 115 wRC+, both top 5 marks.