While I don't think the Padres are NL contenders or anything I'm not too down on them at 0-2 with only four runs scored as they faced two of the best lefties in the league in Tarik Skubal and Framber Valdez. I believe the bats wake up tonight against mediocre Jack Flaherty, who had a 7.82 spring ERA. His road splits were awful in 2025. Fernando Tatis Jr. just murders him career. San Diego +1 at -145 is fine as I somewhat smell a win here -- SportsLine Projection Model sure does too -- but always like insurance for a one-run loss.

Caesar’s. Jack Flaherty is coming off an uninspiring spring in which he pitched to a 7.82 ERA. He’s built up to 81 pitches, but his last two outings saw him throw 9.2 innings, allowing 12 hits and 9 runs. Throughout his tenure as a Tiger, Flaherty has struggled the third time through the batting order (including an .817 OPS allowed last season), and in his first start, I don’t see Tigers manager AJ Hinch pushing him to do so today. The Padres are coming off two muted offensive outings against two of the baseball’s preeminent southpaws - but this offense profiles better against right handed pitching.