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Trouble looms for the Phils as they risk flying to LA down 2-0 in a best-of-five series. Complicating matters is going up against Blake Snell, who spun seven shutout innings of 2-hit ball the last time he faced the Phils on September 17. The Phillies did win 2 of 3 in that series, however, and still hold the season edge on the Dodgers, so confidence level should be sufficiently high. Jesus Luzardo got the loss that night three weeks ago at Chavez Ravine but was 8-2 at CBP this season and way back on April 2 did handcuff the Blue at CBP, allowing no runs and just two hits across 7 IP of a 3-2 Phils win. Play Phillies on the Money Line.

This is a strong line with the consensus line being around +110 for Trea Turner to score a run. We set the line at around -120 for Turner to score a run today. Turner is hitting .323 against LHPs this season, and his ability to steal bases puts him in a strong spot to get into scoring position. This is a must win game for Philadelphia who dropped Game 1 at home to the Dodgers, and they will need their star SS to have a big game.

Blake Snell struck out 12 Phillies batters when these two teams faced off less than a month ago, but this game has different circumstances with it being a road playoff game for Snell. It is telling how patient the Phillies are with Snell's walks allowed line at 2.5. Snell could be mowing down hitters but getting in to deep counts and walking a few guys, which could limit how deep he goes tonight. We have Snell at 7 Ks, so not a bad performance, but the values is on the under which has hit in each of his last 3 road starts.
Four of the last five meetings between the Dodgers and Phillies have gone over the total, except September 17th, when the Dodgers won 5-0 behind Blake Snell, who starts Monday's game against Jesus Luzardo. The Dodgers poured it on in Game 1 on Saturday, scoring five runs between the 6th and 7th innings to make the Phillies 3-0 lead evaporate. Snell has had four of his last five starts go over the total, while the Dodgers have won his last four overall. Luzardo has given up four runs in two of his last three starts. If this total was 8, I think I might pass on the game, but 7.5 is attractive enough for me to make this wager.
Pretty close to a must-win game for the Phils to avoid 0-2 before a shift to Los Angeles. Dodgers starter Blake Snell was 0-3 with a 4.30 ERA in seven RS road starts. Philly has the best home record in the majors (still has won 15 of past 20 there even with the Game 1 loss) but needs to get Bryce Harper going. He hit .215 with a .739 OPS over his final 25 RS games and was a quiet 1-for-4 with two strikeouts in Game 1. All hands on deck for the Phils in the bullpen behind sometimes-shaky but sometimes-dominant Jesus Luzardo (2.57 ERA in two RS starts vs. LA).
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