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Robbie Ray at home here against an Orioles team that had to travel across the country without a day off. Ray has been solid in San Fran with a 2.84 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 79 innings. He's seen some strikeout regression from last year and had a few down efforts of late, but he's also recorded at least six strikeouts in three of his last five against tougher competition. Baltimore's lineup features just two hitters below a 25% strikeout rate vs. southpaws, Patrick Bailey is the best framing catcher in baseball, and pitcher-leaning umpire Phil Cuzzi is behind the plate, so let's take a shot! I'm running a ladder at 7,8,9,10 Ks on Fanduel. All plus odds, 1.1u total.
Look out for the ...Giants? Maybe so, as they're on their best streak since May, winning five straight, and keeping the very faint ember of a wild card hope alive into this weekend. Pitching has keyed the recent uptick as as SF hurlers allowed only 12 runs across the five wins, and Friday starter Robbie Ray is the one rotation piece who has been steady all season, at 10-6 with with a 2.93 ERA. In this "black & orange" battle tonight, note the O's have lost eight of nine, and Dean Kremer off a poor outing vs. the Astros, allowing six runs and seven hits in 5 IP of a loss last Saturday. Play Giants on the Run Line.

Willy Adames homered twice in yesterday's game, and we like his value to stay hot with another HR today. He's a solid 4-9 with a HR in his career against Dean Kremer. Kremer has struggled on the road, allowing a .285 batting average compared to just .215 at home. We set Adames' line at +440 to homer.

FanDuel/Caesar's/DraftKings. Dean Kremer has cleared this strikeout line in eleven of his last fifteen starts. The run coincides with him tweaking his splitter and upping its usage - and the results have been solid, with a 3.65 ERA over that stretch. He’ll now face a Giants lineup that’s run a whopping 28.5 K% over the last two weeks against right handed pitching.
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