Caesar’s. Betting this to win 1.25 units. This is a soft line for Chris Bassitt, who has at least five strikeouts in twelve of thirteen home starts this season. His strikeout rate of 26% in Toronto - his third straight season with at least 23% since joining the Blue Jays. He’ll face the Rangers, who own a league average strikeout rate over the last two weeks against righties (21.7%), but have really struggled at the dish, with a .667 OPS. I also like the notion of a pitchers duel, as Jacob DeGrom will oppose Bassitt tonight.

Toronto is the far better team but is a home dog because Jacob deGrom starts for Texas. But the former two-time Cy Young winner looks tired with three straight losses and very mediocre-to-bad outings. And the Jays beat him in Arlington earlier this season. Toronto's Chris Bassitt has a blah 4.17 ERA on the year but morphs into Zeus (do they still teach Greek mythology in HS/college? I loved it.) at home: 8-0 with a 2.56 ERA. No Adolis Garcia and maybe no Wyatt Langford for sliding Texas. Which is 11 games under .500 away. And I don't even need a win. Only one team in MLB has more home victories than the Jays.