The Marlins are one of the few teams that played in Thursday’s slate, and have to travel for Friday’s new series against Boston. That could have an impact on the moneyline side of things, but in the prop market I’ll play Sandy Alcantara over on his strikeouts. While his road ERA is abysmal at 8.87, the Marlins keep Alcantara in even when he is getting hit hard. While he may give up five to six runs, look for that extra inning of work to put him over his strikeouts.

Wilyer Abreu is seeing the ball well, with three multi-hit games in his last four outings. While he hasn't homered during that stretch, he's back at home where his HR rate is slightly higher. He's hit 20 of his 21 home runs against right-handed pitchers and faces Sandy Alcantara, who's been inconsistent lately—allowing 11 earned runs over his last two starts. In 10 road starts this season, Alcantara has allowed a .939 OPS. We set Abreu's line at +410 to homer.

Well, one good thing about today is that I'm not playing the dang Mets. Holy cow did that team cost me some money the past two days. Not really sure why Carlos Mendoza still has a job. But we have done pretty well of late fading the Marlins, who have dropped eight of 11 to end any longshot wild-card hopes. So, again, we have here a better home team chasing a playoff spot with everything to gain against a road team essentially playing out the string. But I used this same logic on the Mets the past two days and now I'm collecting 10-cent returnable bottles and cans (very college), so what do I know? Sandy Alcantara has an 8.87 ERA on the road.