New York has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these two. However, Cam Schlitter has not pitched great so far this season, owning a 5.01 xERA. The Yankees are home run or bust and have only won eight of their last 19 games post All-Star break. The Astros have progressed as the season went on and are, currently, 11th in the majors with a .729 team OPS while also averaging 4.32 runs per game. Houston has yet to face Schlitter in their careers, but he’s allowed three runs in each of this first two home starts. Hunter Brown has only allowed six home runs on the road in 70.1 innings thus far.

Cam Schlittler hasn't been bad for the Yankees but he's allowed at least a couple of runs in each of his four starts so far and he's worked past the five inning mark just once. The young right hander has been better against right handed batters which should help him here vs. this lineup, but he's also allowed five home runs across four starts, with at least two batters walked in each. If the trend continues here, we would be spotted a couple of runs in the first five with Hunter Brown on the mound for the Astros and I like our chances in that case. At this price, I'm finding value in backing Houston to come out on top in the first five.