Simulation Picks

SPREAD

BOS @ MIN

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MONEYLINE

BOS @ MIN

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OVER / UNDER

BOS @ MIN

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60%

PUBLIC

40%

MONEY

76%

PUBLIC

24%

MONEY

Over80%

PUBLIC

Under20%

Over

MONEY

Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Pitcher StrikeoutsZebby Matthews Over 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts +100

LOSS

Unit1.0

Larry Hartstein

The Maestro

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+30

3-2 in Last 5 MLB Player Props Picks

Larry's Analysis:

Zebby Matthews has pitched better than his 4.97 ERA indicates, and his stuff is electric. He owns a 30.6 percent K rate. Matthews is coming off a dominant six-inning performance vs. Washington in which he fanned seven. Against Boston's announced lineup, I bet Matthews to record at least six strikeouts.

Pick Made: Jul 30, 4:16 pm UTC on DraftKings

Pitcher StrikeoutsZebby Matthews Over 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -135

LOSS

Unit1.0

Prop Bet Guy

Doug

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+482

30-21 in Last 51 MLB Player Props Picks

Prop's Analysis:

Fanatics at -120. Zebby Matthews has recorded 38 strikeouts in 29 MLB innings this season, clearing this line in four of six starts. His 30.8% called plus swinging strike rate in the minors this season has carried over to the big leagues (30.1%), as he’s throwing harder than last season. His slider in particular has been lethal, with 22 strikeouts in 46 plate appearances, and registering a 124 on FanGraphs’ Stuff+ model. Matthews will face the Red Sox, who’ve maintained a high strikeout rate against righties (25.6% over the last two weeks), and likely have a softer lineup today, featuring the back up catcher.

Pick Made: Jul 30, 1:20 pm UTC on Caesars

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.