In Miami’s last 10 games at home, the game has gone under the total in seven of them. The Marlins have struggled offensively at home, hitting .243 with a .682 OPS. San Diego has the much stronger pitching, especially in the bullpen with a NL leading 3.15 ERA. The Padres offense has been decent on the road, hitting .243, and Edward Carbera is off his worst start since April, allowing four runs in four innings on the road to the Orioles. Stephen Kolek has also held this opponents to four runs, or less, in all eight road starts.

Extended road travel can be tricky to evaluate. For the San Diego Padres they got by Monday, in a 2-1 victory over the Marlins. It’s the second time in four games on their road trip they have scored two runs, and totaled just five team hits. The Padres are also winless in Stephen Kolek’s last six starts overall. Grab the home team here in the Marlins.