Aaron Judge has impressive career statistics against Kevin Gausman, including a .372 batting average, six home runs, and a .837 slugging percentage over 43 at-bats. His historical success against Gausman presents an excellent value play at this price. According to Baseball Savant's park factors, Rogers Centre is ranked seventh in total hits and third in home runs this season.

The last time the first-place Blue Jays faced the Yankees, they swept the four-game series to kick off July, and they still maintain a three-game lead in the AL East with an impressive 35-16 home record. The Blue Jays just came off a three-game sweep of the Giants, while the Yankees have lost three out of their last five, winning the last two in Atlanta. I think the key here is Carlos Rodon, who the Yankees have lost three of his last four starts, going against Kevin Gausman, who the Blue Jays have won three of his last four starts. Gausman beat the Yankees 12-5 on July 1st, while the Yankees lost 5-4 behind Rodon to the Blue Jays on June 30th. Blue Jays win.