We’ve got a good pitching matchup today at Fenway Park with two teams going in the opposite directions, as the Reds have won five of their last seven and the Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight. Garrett Crochet faces Chase Burns, and I'm looking to go under in this game. Crochet has gone under in his last three starts, allowing only two combined runs. Chase Burns had eight strikeouts in five innings of his first career start in a 5-4 win over the Yankees, which also stayed under. Under is the play.

Starting a strikeout ladder at seven on Chase Burns in his second MLB start. He fanned eight hitters in just five innings last time out, albeit six of those were the first time through the order. Tonight he will face the Red Sox in Fenway; a team that's striking out worse than 25% of the time against right handers since the start of June. With Rafael Devers traded and Alex Bregman still out, this Boston lineup lacks some thump, and I'll bet against young hitters seeing Burns for the first time. The slider registered a 40% whiff rate in his first start with a 127 Stuff+ and six of his eight strikeouts came on that lethal fastball and slider combo. 0.5u/0.35u/0.15u ladder.