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Look-ee here at who has the second-best record in the AL? Like clockwork, the Astros have picked up steam in June after another notoriously slow start. Meanwhile, the Phils are very anxious to get out of Houston after being blanked the past two nights. Christopher Sanchez is pitching well enough to keep the Phils close, having posted a 1.93 ERA in four June starts, with Philly winning in six of his last seven trips to the mound. But the Phils might need to spin a shutout today, as Hunter Brown is capable of keeping the Astros' shutout string going, having spun a1.54 ERA this month, and Houston winning his last five starts. Play Astros on the Run Line.
It has been an ugly week for sure, so this pick probably determines whether I take the weekend off. Southpaw Cristopher Sanchez has been great for the Phils, but Houston ranks No. 2 in the majors in OPS vs. lefties. Philadelphia has not scored in this series yet as it badly misses Bryce Harper -- and JT Realmuto is out today as well. Houston's Hunter Brown has a 1.19 home ERA. The Astros have the best mark in the majors in June and are also 16-4 in their past 20 at home. When did they change it from Minute Maid Park to Daikin Park?

Caesar’s. Hunter Brown has established himself as one of the elite strikeout artists in baseball, with a 31.6% strikeout rate (92nd percentile). He’s cleared this strikeout total in ten of fifteen starts. At home, Brown has been virtually untouchable, pitching to a 1.19 ERA with a 36.5% strikeout rate. The Phillies have yet to score in Houston, and we should see a softer Bryce Harper-less lineup in a getaway today (including the backup catcher). I’m expecting five left handed hitters for the Phillies today - Brown has struck out 27 of 66 lefties he’s faced at home this season.
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