Junior Caminero is coming off a four-hit game and looking like the former No. 1 overall prospect in baseball. He has eight hits over his last three games but does not have a homer in those games. Given that one in four of his hits this season have been home runs, he is due for one of those hits to be a HR. Thirteen of his 17 HRs this season have come against right-handers, and he is facing a righty Thursday in Charlie Morton. Morton has allowed 10 homers this season. We set the line at +298 for Caminero to homer.

Orioles starter Charlie Morton is 0-4 with a 7.97 ERA on the road. Rays starter Drew Rasmussen is 4-4 with a 2.04 ERA at home. This is a good price on the Rays, who are 20-7 in their last 27 games following Wednesday's monumental comeback. Look for Baltimore to fall to 15-24 on the road.

The Rays have beaten the Orioles four of the last five meetings, including last night's 12-8 win, and tonight they have their best starter on the mound with Drew Rasmussen. The Rays have won six straight behind him, including a stretch where he didn't allow a run in four straight games. The Orioles go with Charlie Morton, who has turned for the better just like the Orioles lately, with the team winning his last four starts. But two starts ago against the Athletics, he allowed four runs and didn't make it out of the third inning, but the Orioles came back to win 7-4. Rays to win.

Last Friday, Charlie Morton's assortment of off-speed offerings and constant change-of-pace flustered the free-swinging Angels at Camden Yards, with Morton striking out 10 in just 5 IP in an eventual 2-0 Baltimore win. It's also the same Morton with a 6.02 ERA this season, and not sure how much help he wants to count on from his bullpen after the Rays rallied from an 8-0 deficit to win 12-8 last night, the fifth time in six games that TB's offense has scored seven or more runs. That makes it 20 wins in 27 for the Rays, and Tampa Bay has also won in the last six starts by Drew Rasmussen, who's on the mound again tonight. Play Rays on Run Line