Ryan Pepiot fanned eight Boston batters when he faced the Red Sox on April 15. He's also coming off an eight-strikeout performance versus Texas. The Red Sox struck out 12 times Monday (in 11 innings) and own the second-highest strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching over the past month. I would still play this Over 5.5 at plus money.

Ryan Pepiot and Lucas Giolito appear to be on opposite trajectories over the last few weeks and when you add in the fact that the Rays bats are heating up, it's a good spot to lean on the road team in the First Five. Both teams should get their fair share of base runners in a great hitting environment, but it's the Rays offense and pitching matchup that are on the upswing and the same cannot be said of the Red Sox behind Giolito (who has been particularly bad at Fenway). It should be noted that the Red Sox smashed Pepiot back in mid-April, but he's in better form now than two months ago.

The Rays are on the move, winning again last night at Fenway Park to make it 15-4 across the past nineteen games. The bats are very alive, scoring another ten runs last night (the fifth time in the past 15 games with double-digit runs) while 30 homers have been belted across the uptick as well. Wednesday starter Ryan Pepiot has also been excelling, as across his last three starts, the ex-Dodger has allowed just two runs, with an 0.92 ERA that span. Meanwhile, the Bosox might still be decompressing from the weekend series vs. the Yankees and the disappointment of last night's extra-innings loss, with Wednesday starter Lucas Giolito having endured some brutal outings as his 6.42 ERA suggests. Play Rays on Run Line