DraftKings. Coming back from injuries that have kept him off the field for most of the last two seasons, Dustin May is already on the verge of surpassing his highest professional workload since the 2019 season. The Dodgers have shown that they will exercise caution with the right-hander, and I expect that to continue all season. May has remained under this line in six of his ten starts. All four of the games he cleared this line came against teams who see below average pitches per plate appearance. Tonight, May will face the Mets who rank seventh in that metric. The Mets patient approach coupled with their potent bats (133 wRC+ and an .837 OPS over the last week) should help to chase May early.

Juan Soto broke out of a slump against the Rockies, finishing the series with two homers and a double. While he's just 1-for-9 in his career against Dustin May, he has only 2 strikeouts in 12 plate appearances and has made some solid contact. May has given up 6 home runs in his last 5 starts after allowing just 1 in his first 5. Soto has hit 9 of his 10 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. We set his line at +330 to homer today, so there's strong value at +425.

The Mets are just 13-15 on the road and Paul Blackburn is making his first start of the season after a lengthy injury layoffs; I generally fade that spot. The Dodgers are 21-9 at home and were in a scoring binge prior to Sun night when the Yanks finally took one off them. They've scored 53 runs in their last 6 games and have as healthy a lineup as they've enjoyed in quite some time.

Hey...it's Paul Blackburn! He finally makes his 2025 debut for the Mets after a rough several months including a spinal and knee problems,. He's making his first appearance in Chavez Ravine since pitching a scoreless inning in the 2022 All-Star Game while still with the A's, and the Mets still have a score to settle with the Dodgers from the NLCS last October. NY hits LA very hot with wins in seven of eight, and held the Dodgers to just three runs across the last two meetings at Citi Field. Meanwhile, LA is at the ragged end of its rotation with wild-haired Monday starter Dustin May (4.45 May ERA) Play Mets on the Money Line.