The Rangers are three games under .500 at 26-29, but they're 17-11 at home, and most importantly, they've stayed under the total 37 times. Two out of every three games they play stay under the total, and the last three meetings with the Blue Jays have stayed under the total. Nathan Eovaldi has only allowed three runs in his last six starts. He's going to be in a close one today. Just the under.

No one seems to be talking about the Rangers' Nathan Eovaldi as an AL Cy Young candidate -- he's priced +1200. Big Nate is 4-3 with a 1.60 ERA and MLB-leading 0.79 WHIP on the season. Over his past six outings, that ERA drops to 0.74 ERA with an opponents' batting average of just .176. It's possible Texas activates Corey Seager off the injured list ahead of the game. Jays pitcher Bowden Francis is 0-3 with a 4.43 ERA on the road. He hasn't won anywhere since April 18.