I was wondering if we'd get a flip at one of our books to 3.5 and there we go at Caesars. I'm still stinging from the Rockies not covering +3 the other day vs. the Phillies when leading 3-1 entering the seventh inning. They lost by six because, I mean, they are the Rockies. But I tend to think they play decently well on a holiday weekend in front of rare full houses with the Yankees making a very rare visit to Denver. NYY pitcher Clarke Schmidt has a 7.20 road ERA, but he'd still be the ace of Colorado's rotation. There probably won't be a save situation, but Yanks closer Luke Weaver is surely not available after pitching the past three nights.

Can't get off this train just yet. Yanks starter hasn't been great but in this spot, why not? NY bats should do plenty of damage here. The Rockies' weak staff is in tatters again. I'm surprised this isn't at 2.5 everywhere.

Cody Bellinger is red-hot at the plate and now gets the benefit of hitting in the hitter-friendly environment of Coors Field. He's batting .333 with a 1.003 OPS in May and has launched 3 home runs in his last 5 games, despite going hitless in his most recent outing. He'll face Rockies starter Tanner Gordon, who has struggled in his limited MLB experience, surrendering 10 home runs in just 40.2 innings. With Bellinger's recent success and the favorable conditions, the +330 line offers solid value according to our model.

I was really curious what Aaron Judge's price would be on Over/Under 0.5 home runs in Colorado. I don't care if he's playing on the moon (does the wind blow out on Luna?), I'm taking Under at less than -200. Judge might hit four dingers tonight, no doubt about it. But he also might be walked four times. Winds are actually blowing in some at Coors Field, not that it probably matters when it comes to Judge.