Sandy Alcantara is giving up hard contact at an alarming rate (48.9 percent), and I like the Angels' bats to stay hot Friday. LA has won seven straight and just averaged 6.8 runs on a 10-game trip. Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi is coming off a strong outing against the Dodgers, owns a 2.38 ERA this month, and should fare well versus a Marlins' team sporting a .663 OPS against left-handed pitching.

Should we start getting used to laying an extra run with the Halos? Maybe so, as the current win streak (now at seven games) continues. The free-swinging offense is playing long ball and finally hitting homers with men on base, and runs have been piling up fast...another 10 (for a second straight game) on Thursday in Sacto, and 54 runs across this win streak at nearly 8 pg. Bad news for the Marlins, who have lost in six straight starts by Sandy Alcantara, plagued himself by the long ball and with a sky-high 7.99 ERA. Note the Angels have won three straight in starts made by Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 2.38 ERA in four May appearances. Play Angels on Run Line

Caesar’s. Sandy Alcantara has yet to regain his Cy Young form from before his elbow injury. He’s failed to clear this line in eight of his nine starts this season, while pitching to a 7.99 ERA (5.31 xERA). While his pitch velocity and movement has regained form, his issue stems from pitch location. His chase rate is down more than 10% versus his prior two full seasons, and FanGraphs’ location+ metric is also down about 10%. I like the Angels, who own MLB’s ninth lowest chase rate, to drive up his pitch count today. The Halos see the ninth most pitches per plate appearance, and are hitting well: 121 wRC+ and a .785 OPS over the last two weeks versus righties.